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2016-11-23

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JeQuan Lewis * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 0 3 21 29 -
Jordan Burgess * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 2 0 6 -
Jonathan Williams * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 12 19 -
Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 14 14 -
Malik Crowfield * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Samir Doughty 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 8 13 -
Doug Brooks 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Mo Alie-Cox 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
Justin Tillman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
De'Riante Jenkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allerik Freeman * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 15 15 -
J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 2 5 11 -
Manu Lecomte * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 16 19 -
Johnathan Motley * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 3 19 28 -
Ishmail Wainright * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 2 0 3 4 15 -
Jake Lindsey 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Wendell Mitchell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
T.J. Maston 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
King McClure 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter