Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lewis * | 33 | 12-28 | 2-9 | 4-8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 5 | - |
| J. Burgess * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Tillman * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Alie-Cox * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Brooks * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hamdy-Mohamed | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Williams | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Doughty | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Crowfield | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Jenkins | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Landale * | 40 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| E. Naar * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| C. Hermanson * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| E. Fitzner * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Pineau | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Krebs | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hunter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter