Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +8 (85-77). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JeQuan Lewis * | 33 | 12-28 | 2-9 | 4-8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Burgess * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Justin Tillman * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Doug Brooks * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Samir Doughty | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jock Landale * | 40 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Emmett Naar * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Joe Rahon * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Evan Fitzner * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dane Pineau | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tanner Krebs | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter