Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Potts * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 31 | - |
| R. Upshaw Jr. * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| T. Dixon * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| E. Simpson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Foote | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Walters | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| X. Habersham | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Jordan Burgess * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Jonathan Williams * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Justin Tillman * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Samir Doughty | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Doug Brooks | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marquell Fraser | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter