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UCLA

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UCLA Bruins, UCLA
Program History
Coach: Steve Alford

2016 Team Stats (10 games)

80.7
PPG
82.3
Opp
-1.6
Margin
46.4%
FG%
36.5%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
37.9
RPG
15.8
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.5
Adj PPG
69.7
Adj Opp PPG
#72
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1097 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1070 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 924 (#272) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +8.9 (#69) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +5.3 (#100) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.529 (#161) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.842 (#57) AdjNet +14.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.7 More → 0.845 (#57) AdjNet +14.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.671 (#72) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.528 (#141) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.633 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.605 (#119) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 32 More → 1060 (#124) RD 134 | GP 32

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Monmouth Hawks L 81 - 84
2015-11-15 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 88 - 83
2015-11-19 vs Pepperdine Waves W 81 - 67
2015-11-23 vs UNLV Rebels W 77 - 75
2015-11-24 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 73 - 92
2015-11-25 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 77 - 80
2015-11-29 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 77 - 45
2015-12-03 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 87 - 77
2015-12-06 vs Long Beach State Beach W 83 - 76
2015-12-12 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs W 71 - 66
2015-12-15 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 89 - 80
2015-12-19 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 76 - 89
2015-12-22 vs McNeese Cowboys W 67 - 53
2016-01-01 @ Washington Huskies L 93 - 96
2016-01-03 @ Washington State Cougars L 78 - 85
2016-01-07 vs Arizona Wildcats W 87 - 84
2016-01-09 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 81 - 74
2016-01-13 vs USC Trojans L 75 - 89
2016-01-20 @ Oregon State Beavers W 82 - 73
2016-01-23 @ Oregon Ducks L 72 - 86
2016-01-28 vs Washington Huskies L 84 - 86
2016-01-30 vs Washington State Cougars W 83 - 50
2016-02-04 @ USC Trojans L 61 - 80
2016-02-12 @ Arizona Wildcats L 75 - 81
2016-02-14 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 78 - 65
2016-02-18 vs Utah Utes L 73 - 75
2016-02-20 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 77 - 53
2016-02-25 @ California Golden Bears L 63 - 75
2016-02-27 @ Stanford Cardinal L 70 - 79
2016-03-02 vs Oregon Ducks L 68 - 76
2016-03-05 vs Oregon State Beavers L 82 - 86
2016-03-09 @ USC Trojans L 71 - 95

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaac Hamilton Isaac Hamilton G 30 35.1 17.2 3.9 3.5 1.0 0.1 2.4 4.8 18.5 80 26 3.1 3.9 46.9 32.6 75.8 2.89 163.8 51.7
Bryce Alford Bryce Alford G 30 36.0 16.0 3.8 5.1 0.8 0.0 2.0 4.5 19.2 3 26 0.1 0.1 38.2 37.7 87.9 -5.16 148.6 47.8
S. Mykhailiuk S. Mykhailiuk - 1 22.0 13.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 18.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tony Parker Tony Parker F 30 24.6 12.6 7.7 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 3.2 17.8 53 26 2.0 3.5 52.1 0 49.0 1.07 160.3 52.1
Thomas Welsh Thomas Welsh C 29 26.3 11.0 8.2 0.6 0.3 0.9 0.8 2.8 17.3 92 25 3.7 5.8 59.8 0 65.0 3.1 176.2 59.8
Aaron Holiday Aaron Holiday - 30 31.6 10.3 2.9 4.2 1.4 0.2 2.8 2.8 13.3 136 26 5.2 7.3 39.8 40.0 66.7 4.91 167.5 45.8
Drew Eubanks Drew Eubanks - 2 24.0 5.5 9.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 2.5 0.0 15.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonah Bolden Jonah Bolden - 30 21.8 4.7 4.9 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.5 9.8 35 26 1.3 2.8 50.0 50.0 82.6 1.68 126.5 56.5
Prince Ali Prince Ali G 28 11.6 3.8 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 0.7 4.1 -31 23 -1.3 -5.2 45.0 16.7 55.6 -0.79 221.2 47.5
Gyorgy Goloman Gyorgy Goloman F 15 12.1 2.0 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.3 4.7 -17 11 -1.5 -6.7 60.0 0.0 0.0 -1.48 221.9 60.0
J. Collins J. Collins - 1 15.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alec Wulff Alec Wulff G 4 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 0 0.56 0 0
Noah Allen Noah Allen G 22 6.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.9 17 18 0.9 5.3 40.0 50.0 100.0 1.74 92.5 45.0
Alex Olesinski Alex Olesinski F 20 7.0 1.1 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.7 -41 20 -2.0 -12.1 28.6 0.0 75.0 -4.47 99.8 28.6
Jerrold Smith Jerrold Smith G 6 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 5 5 1.0 35.9 0 0 0 0.09 0 0
Ikenna Okwarabizie Ikenna Okwarabizie C 6 2.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 -10 6 -1.7 -37.3 0.0 0 0 -1.82 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG