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2016-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% -
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 (25.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% -
Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +24 (95-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Alford * 34 2-11 2-7 5-5 3 3 2 0 2 11 6 -
I. Hamilton * 33 3-12 1-6 2-2 0 6 1 0 2 9 2 -8.1
A. Holiday * 32 4-9 3-5 0-0 3 3 2 2 2 11 10 -
T. Welsh * 19 6-13 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 12 6 -12.6
T. Parker * 14 2-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 5 2 -12.1
J. Bolden 28 5-9 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 2 0 11 9 -
G. Goloman 14 3-4 0-1 0-3 4 0 0 2 0 6 8 -5.0
N. Allen 14 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 0 0 6 8 -13.5
A. Olesinski 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Ali 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Okwarabizie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McLaughlin * 33 4-9 1-2 9-9 5 3 1 1 3 18 16 -
E. Stewart * 29 3-8 2-4 1-2 5 3 0 2 2 9 9 +5.8
B. Boatwright * 27 6-13 5-9 2-2 9 1 0 2 1 19 17 +15.3
J. Jacobs * 27 3-6 1-1 4-4 5 9 1 0 4 11 16 +9.7
N. Jovanovic * 23 4-11 0-1 8-10 7 0 3 0 2 16 13 +15.6
K. Reinhardt 27 4-8 2-6 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 10 2 +15.2
C. Metu 19 5-7 0-0 0-1 11 1 0 1 0 10 16 -
D. Clark 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
M. Marquetti 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Martin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Gavrilovic 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter