🐻⬇️🏀

@
2016-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.4% 35.6% -
Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Log Adjusted 83.7% 16.3% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Cook * 38 4-9 0-2 6-6 6 4 2 1 2 14 16 -
D. Brooks * 37 5-14 1-3 4-4 7 3 3 1 6 15 9 -
T. Dorsey * 32 7-14 4-8 2-4 9 3 1 0 1 20 18 -
C. Benson * 31 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 4 3 -0.9
C. Boucher * 16 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 4 3 -
J. Bell 25 4-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 9 9 -0.2
D. Benjamin 19 3-7 2-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 10 8 +7.3
K. Small 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Hamilton * 37 8-19 1-5 2-3 5 6 0 0 3 19 8 +4.0
B. Alford * 36 6-14 3-7 1-1 5 3 0 0 1 16 9 -
T. Parker * 22 8-10 0-0 2-4 3 1 2 1 4 18 11 -5.1
J. Bolden * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 2 2 -
A. Holiday * 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 5 4 -
T. Welsh 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 4 8 +9.1
N. Allen 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -5.8
G. Goloman 12 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 2 1 1 1 0 3 +8.4
P. Ali 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter