Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +9 (89-80). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Long * | 36 | 10-23 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Jay Wright * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Kasey Shepherd * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Johnathan Stove * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jay Hedgeman * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Steven Wronkoski | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Devonta Walker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Hayward Register | 7 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Washington | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyrone Wooten | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tiremone Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Scott Plaisance | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Alford * | 38 | 10-15 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Holiday * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jonah Bolden * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Isaac Hamilton * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Noah Allen | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Alex Olesinski | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ikenna Okwarabizie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter