Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | +18.1 | ✗ (23.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -5 (66-71). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Alford * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Isaac Hamilton * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Holiday * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 27 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Thomas Welsh * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jonah Bolden | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Alex Olesinski | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Prince Ali | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 39 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Josh Perkins * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Eric McClellan * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Silas Melson * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Kyle Dranginis | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bryan Alberts | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Edwards | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter