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2016-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 57.0% 43.0% -1.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% -
Efficiency 90.3% 9.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Log Adjusted 80.5% 19.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. York * 32 3-10 2-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 8 1 +5.5
A. Trier * 31 4-10 1-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 13 5 +5.3
R. Anderson * 30 5-10 0-0 5-8 15 1 1 0 0 15 22 +5.3
K. Allen * 28 3-9 0-1 3-3 3 4 0 2 2 9 7 -
D. Ristic * 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
K. Tarczewski 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 2 1 12 18 +5.4
P. Jackson-Cartwright 16 3-5 2-4 1-2 0 2 1 0 2 9 5 -
M. Tollefsen 12 3-6 1-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
J. Simon 9 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 3 +4.1

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Alford * 34 9-18 5-11 2-2 4 6 1 0 0 25 18 -
A. Holiday * 34 6-11 2-4 1-1 3 6 3 0 4 15 12 -
T. Welsh * 32 2-5 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 1 0 6 9 -5.3
T. Parker * 31 6-10 0-0 2-3 12 1 0 1 1 14 17 +3.8
I. Hamilton * 28 5-12 3-5 1-2 1 6 0 0 3 14 6 -1.5
J. Bolden 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 5 8 -
P. Ali 16 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 +3.6
N. Allen 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter