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2015-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 65.2% 34.8% -
Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% -
Log Adjusted 70.8% 29.2% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ulis * 38 2-12 1-5 4-4 2 9 2 0 2 9 8 -
J. Murray * 35 5-16 5-11 2-3 5 0 2 0 3 17 5 -
I. Briscoe * 27 7-10 1-2 5-8 2 1 0 0 1 20 12 -
S. Labissiere * 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 1 6 5 -
M. Lee * 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
I. Humphries 27 1-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
A. Poythress 17 1-6 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
D. Willis 14 4-9 1-4 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
C. Matthews 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Hawkins 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -6.6

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Alford * 37 5-13 2-5 3-4 5 4 0 0 4 15 7 -
T. Welsh * 36 8-11 0-0 5-6 11 0 0 2 0 21 23 -
I. Hamilton * 35 4-11 1-2 6-8 3 2 1 0 1 15 9 -1.6
A. Holiday * 33 3-6 2-2 2-2 8 7 1 0 5 10 15 -
T. Parker * 26 3-5 0-0 5-7 3 2 1 0 0 11 12 -1.5
J. Bolden 21 2-3 0-1 3-3 3 1 1 1 0 7 10 -
P. Ali 12 3-4 0-1 2-4 3 0 1 0 0 8 8 +6.2

* = starter