🐻⬇️🏀

UCF

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History
Coach: Johnny Dawkins Jr

2022 Team Stats (23 games)

70.7
PPG
69.4
Opp
+1.3
Margin
42.9%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
68.0%
FT%
34.9
RPG
14.9
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.7
Adj PPG
66.6
Adj Opp PPG
#103
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1071 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1103 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 1007 (#166) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +5.8 (#102) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → +3.8 (#122) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.566 (#149) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.9 More → 0.736 (#100) AdjNet +8.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.0 More → 0.739 (#99) AdjNet +9.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.614 (#103) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.508 (#166) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.619 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.599 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 30 More → 1084 (#122) RD 130 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 69 - 59
2021-11-13 @ Miami Hurricanes W 95 - 89
2021-11-16 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 63 - 54
2021-11-20 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 75 - 59
2021-11-27 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 62 - 65
2021-12-01 @ Auburn Tigers L 68 - 85
2021-12-05 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 81 - 45
2021-12-11 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 83 - 68
2021-12-15 @ Temple Owls W 65 - 48
2021-12-18 @ Florida State Seminoles - Preview
2021-12-22 vs North Alabama Lions W 75 - 64
2021-12-30 vs Michigan Wolverines W 85 - 71
2022-01-02 @ SMU Mustangs L 60 - 72
2022-01-05 vs Temple Owls L 62 - 66
2022-01-08 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane - Postponed
2022-01-12 vs Memphis Tigers W 74 - 64
2022-01-15 @ South Florida Bulls L 51 - 75
2022-01-18 @ East Carolina Pirates W 92 - 85
2022-01-22 vs Tulane Green Wave W 68 - 66
2022-01-26 @ Wichita State Shockers L 79 - 84
2022-01-29 vs Houston Cougars L 49 - 63
2022-02-03 vs South Florida Bulls W 68 - 49
2022-02-05 @ Memphis Tigers L 60 - 88
2022-02-08 vs Wichita State Shockers W 71 - 66
2022-02-14 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 76 - 67
2022-02-17 @ Houston Cougars L 52 - 70
2022-02-20 vs East Carolina Pirates W 69 - 66
2022-02-23 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 75 - 61
2022-03-03 @ Tulane Green Wave L 67 - 82
2022-03-06 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 72 - 73
2022-03-10 vs South Florida Bulls W 60 - 58
2022-03-11 @ Memphis Tigers L 69 - 85

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Darin Green Darin Green G 25 30.6 12.8 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 1.3 11.3 5.5 114 28 4.1 5.3 39.6 37.5 67.7 3.51 53.9 52.3
Darius Perry Darius Perry G 26 30.3 12.3 4.0 4.5 1.7 0.2 2.6 10.1 9.9 49 29 1.7 2.3 39.5 37.0 72.2 -0.37 54.1 49.2
Brandon Mahan Brandon Mahan G 22 26.5 9.8 4.1 1.6 1.7 0.2 1.5 8.2 7.8 98 25 3.9 5.9 38.7 33.9 83.8 3.09 54.7 50.3
Walker, C.J. Walker, C.J. F 26 24.6 8.2 5.2 1.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 6.0 8.5 51 29 1.8 2.8 48.4 38.7 55.1 0.46 56.5 52.3
C. Diong C. Diong C 26 25.2 7.0 6.3 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.3 4.8 9.9 113 29 3.9 6.4 60.0 0 59.5 2.72 63.1 60.0
Darius Johnson Darius Johnson G 26 23.6 6.7 3.2 3.0 1.2 0.0 2.0 6.5 5.6 -64 29 -2.2 -3.8 32.9 30.3 72.1 -3.4 46.1 39.7
Fuller Jr., Dre Fuller Jr., Dre G 21 12.8 4.2 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 3.5 3.9 -7 23 -0.3 -1.0 44.6 40.9 54.5 -0.93 56.4 50.7
Tyem Freeman Tyem Freeman G 24 12.3 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.6 -19 27 -0.7 -2.2 54.4 23.5 81.5 -1.16 63.8 57.4
Tony Johnson Tony Johnson G 3 8.7 4.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.3 - - - - 33.3 57.1 0 -2.54 50.0 50.0
Isaiah Adams Isaiah Adams G 23 14.4 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.3 1.4 3.7 3.1 -13 26 -0.5 -1.4 38.4 30.6 66.7 -1.33 48.2 44.8
Jamille Reynolds Jamille Reynolds F 19 9.9 3.7 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.4 3.4 -34 24 -1.4 -6.0 53.3 100.0 66.7 -0.95 59.6 54.4
B. Matos B. Matos F 2 15.5 3.0 7.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 11.0 -53 26 -2.0 -7.9 0 0 50.0 -1.79 340.9 0
M. Calleja M. Calleja - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sean Mobley Sean Mobley F 2 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.29 53.2 0.0
Ryan Anders Ryan Anders F 6 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 4 6 0.7 13.9 66.7 50.0 0 -0.9 83.3 83.3
PJ Edwards PJ Edwards G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Levy Renaud Levy Renaud G 6 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 6 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0
L. Evans IV L. Evans IV G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.78 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

245 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Diong42% Diong33% Perry23% Green43% Green25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Perry28% Johnson43% Green42% Mahan50% Green33% Green44% Adams38% Perry37% Perry33% Johnson31%
Misses: who misses most here

C. DiongDarius PerryDarin GreenDarius JohnsonBrandon MahanIsaiah Adams

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 36-68 52.9 72 C. Diong 42% (30 pts) Darius Johnson 11% (8 pts) Darius Perry 28% (9 misses) Darius Johnson 22% (7 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 3-24 12.5 6 C. Diong 33% (2 pts) Fuller Jr., Dre 33% (2 pts) Darius Johnson 43% (9 misses) Darin Green 14% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 22-34 64.7 44 Darius Perry 23% (10 pts) Fuller Jr., Dre 23% (10 pts) Darin Green 42% (5 misses) Fuller Jr., Dre 42% (5 misses)
Mid-range center 7-9 77.8 14 Darin Green 43% (6 pts) Darius Perry 29% (4 pts) Brandon Mahan 50% (1 misses) Darin Green 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 16-22 72.7 32 Darin Green 25% (8 pts) Brandon Mahan 19% (6 pts) Darin Green 33% (2 misses) C. Diong 17% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-9 0.0 0 - - Darin Green 44% (4 misses) Darius Perry 22% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 0-8 0.0 0 - - Isaiah Adams 38% (3 misses) Darin Green 25% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 0-30 0.0 0 - - Darius Perry 37% (11 misses) Darin Green 27% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-15 0.0 0 - - Darius Perry 33% (5 misses) Brandon Mahan 27% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-26 0.0 0 - - Darius Johnson 31% (8 misses) Brandon Mahan 27% (7 misses)