Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Harris * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Player #4431720 * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Player #4687718 * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Player #4433621 * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Dandridge * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | - |
| L. Nolley II | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Player #4433620 | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Hardaway | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| T. Freeman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter