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2022-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: UCF Knights +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. DeJulius * 31 5-13 2-6 4-4 3 3 1 0 1 16 9 -
M. Adams-Woods * 30 2-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
J. Newman III * 29 3-8 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 7 1 -
O. Oguama 10 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Anthony 1 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson * 34 4-11 0-3 0-2 7 5 1 0 2 8 8 -
Da. Green Jr. * 32 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 9 6 -
D. Perry * 28 4-13 1-7 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 11 6 -
C.J. Walker * 25 5-7 2-2 1-4 6 1 0 0 0 13 13 -
C. Diong * 24 5-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 1 11 11 -
T. Freeman 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 4 7 -
I. Adams 14 4-5 2-3 2-2 0 2 1 1 1 12 10 -
J. Reynolds 13 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
H. Koval 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 3 6 -
D. Fuller Jr. 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
R. Anders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Renaud 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter