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2021-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 65.1% 34.9% -3.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% -
Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% -

Actual: UCF Knights +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jones * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 17 26 -
H. Dickinson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 12 22 -
E. Brooks * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 18 24 -
C. Houstan * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 1 5 -
M. Diabate * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 13 20 -
K. Bufkin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
T. Williams II 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
B. Johns Jr. 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
F. Collins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Walker 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 3 1 4 13 -
D. Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 4 10 -
T. Freeman 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter