Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | +12.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +28 (88-60). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 33 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Darius Perry * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Darin Green Jr. * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Diong * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dre Fuller Jr. | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Mahan | 19 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Adams | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Levy Renaud | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Anders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lomax * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Earl Timberlake * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| DeAndre Williams * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Landers Nolley II | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Harris | 17 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Chandler Lawson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Josh Minott | 14 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Conor Glennon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tadarius Jacobs | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter