Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dalger | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Gaston-Chapman | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Urbancic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mahan * | 39 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Diong * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Perry * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| D. Fuller Jr. | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| I. Adams | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter