Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Perry * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 15 | - |
| C. Diong * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. Mahan * | 29 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| I. Adams | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Fuller Jr. | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson Jr. | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Reynolds | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Freeman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.D. Johnson | 30 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| W. Kessler * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Z. Jasper * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith * | 22 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| W. Green Jr. | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Williams | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Berman | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Cardwell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Leopard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sobera | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Maasdorp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Cook | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter