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Troy

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Troy Trojans
Program History
Coach: Don Maestri

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 861 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 860 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 925 (#273) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -8.0 (#279) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -6.2 (#264) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.299 (#264) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.9 More → 0.203 (#271) AdjNet -11.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.1 More → 0.199 (#272) AdjNet -12.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.338 (#279) AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.408 (#256) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.310 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.323 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 33 More → 885 (#245) RD 147 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 56 - 53
2012-11-12 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 65 - 83
2012-11-18 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 46 - 70
2012-11-19 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 68 - 61
2012-11-20 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 59 - 56
2012-11-25 vs Alabama State Hornets W 66 - 62
2012-11-27 vs UAB Blazers L 55 - 75
2012-11-29 @ Little Rock Trojans L 56 - 58
2012-12-01 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 71 - 75
2012-12-08 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 82 - 86
2012-12-13 @ Alabama State Hornets L 68 - 74
2012-12-15 vs Georgia State Panthers W 57 - 56
2012-12-19 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 64 - 67
2012-12-27 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 54 - 61
2013-01-03 @ North Texas Mean Green L 59 - 76
2013-01-05 vs Little Rock Trojans W 67 - 64
2013-01-10 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 64 - 55
2013-01-17 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 59 - 80
2013-01-19 @ Florida International Panthers L 55 - 61
2013-01-24 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 74 - 67
2013-01-26 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 71 - 64
2013-01-31 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 61 - 65
2013-02-02 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 71 - 52
2013-02-07 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 62 - 65
2013-02-09 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 41 - 93
2013-02-14 vs Florida International Panthers W 69 - 61
2013-02-16 vs North Texas Mean Green L 61 - 63
2013-02-21 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 66 - 76
2013-02-23 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 50 - 58
2013-02-28 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 56 - 66
2013-03-02 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 49 - 53
2013-03-08 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 81 - 79
2013-03-09 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 63 - 68

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emil Jones Emil Jones G 33 32.8 11.4 5.6 2.9 1.7 0.6 1.5 2.6 18.1 -60 25 -2.4 -3.2 44.7 15.4 70.0 3.06 191.4 45.9
Hunter Williams Hunter Williams G 33 34.7 10.4 2.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 2.0 2.3 12.1 -155 25 -6.2 -7.8 40.0 45.9 57.1 -4.97 219.0 51.3
Ray Chambers Ray Chambers F 33 23.0 8.2 5.8 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 13.2 -91 25 -3.6 -7.0 46.4 0 72.7 -1.57 411.1 46.4
Antoine Myers Antoine Myers G 33 25.1 8.0 2.8 2.6 1.1 0.1 2.2 1.2 11.2 -41 25 -1.6 -2.8 50.0 0.0 64.3 -0.11 252.3 50.0
Deonata Jethroe Deonata Jethroe - 32 17.8 5.9 2.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.5 7.5 - - - - 39.6 30.8 76.9 - 175.0 47.9
Tevin Calhoun Tevin Calhoun F 33 18.5 5.5 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.3 6.6 -86 25 -3.4 -8.6 28.6 32.4 66.7 -2.7 208.9 41.7
R.J. Scott R.J. Scott G 19 19.8 5.4 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.1 1.2 6.2 -55 15 -3.7 -8.5 40.9 33.3 66.7 -3.76 220.8 52.3
Westley Hinton Westley Hinton F 27 13.9 4.5 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 7.2 1 20 0.1 0.2 36.8 33.3 50.0 0.02 304.3 47.4
Jeff Mullahey Jeff Mullahey G 32 15.3 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.6 4.1 -33 24 -1.4 -4.0 38.9 35.7 50.0 0.31 259.5 52.8
Justin Wright Justin Wright G 5 12.4 3.0 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.0 3.6 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0.0 -1.39 137.9 20.0
Josh Warren Josh Warren C 33 13.2 2.5 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 5.8 -49 25 -2.0 -6.5 44.4 0 66.7 -2.41 203.5 44.4
Breon Dixon Breon Dixon - 7 3.9 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 - - - - 33.3 0 0 - 66.7 33.3
Sidki Muwallif Sidki Muwallif - 5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG