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Troy

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Troy Trojans
Program History
Coach: Don Maestri

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1400 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1256 (#178) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 977 (#451) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +22.6 (#172) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +4.3 (#237) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 64.5 More → 0.471 (#359) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 64.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.511 (#273) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.499 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 32 More → 898 (#412) RD 149 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 56 - 53
2012-11-12 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 65 - 83
2012-11-18 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 46 - 70
2012-11-19 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 68 - 61
2012-11-20 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 59 - 56
2012-11-25 vs Alabama State Hornets W 66 - 62
2012-11-27 vs UAB Blazers L 55 - 75
2012-11-29 @ Little Rock Trojans L 56 - 58
2012-12-01 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 71 - 75
2012-12-08 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 82 - 86
2012-12-13 @ Alabama State Hornets L 68 - 74
2012-12-15 vs Georgia State Panthers W 57 - 56
2012-12-19 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 64 - 67
2012-12-27 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 54 - 61
2013-01-03 @ North Texas Mean Green L 59 - 76
2013-01-05 vs Little Rock Trojans W 67 - 64
2013-01-10 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 64 - 55
2013-01-17 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 59 - 80
2013-01-19 @ Florida International Panthers L 55 - 61
2013-01-24 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 74 - 67
2013-01-26 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 71 - 64
2013-01-31 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 61 - 65
2013-02-02 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 71 - 52
2013-02-07 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 62 - 65
2013-02-09 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 41 - 93
2013-02-14 vs Florida International Panthers W 69 - 61
2013-02-16 vs North Texas Mean Green L 61 - 63
2013-02-21 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 66 - 76
2013-02-23 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 50 - 58
2013-02-28 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 56 - 66
2013-03-02 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 49 - 53
2013-03-08 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 81 - 79
2013-03-09 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 63 - 68

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Jones E. Jones G 33 32.8 11.4 5.6 2.9 1.7 0.6 1.5 2.6 18.1 -9 -0.3 -0.4 44.7 15.4 70.0 0.45 191.4 45.9
H. Williams H. Williams G 33 34.7 10.4 2.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 2.0 2.3 12.1 -148 -4.5 -5.9 40.0 45.9 57.1 -0.74 219.0 51.3
R. Chambers R. Chambers F 33 23.0 8.2 5.8 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 13.2 -137 -4.2 -8.1 46.4 0 72.7 -0.81 411.1 46.4
A. Myers A. Myers G 33 25.1 8.0 2.8 2.6 1.1 0.1 2.2 1.2 11.2 -8 -0.2 -0.4 50.0 0.0 64.3 0.58 252.3 50.0
D. Jethroe D. Jethroe - 32 17.8 5.9 2.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.5 7.5 -125 -3.9 -8.5 39.6 30.8 76.9 -0.78 175.0 47.9
T. Calhoun T. Calhoun F 33 18.5 5.5 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.3 6.6 -67 -2.0 -4.1 28.6 32.4 66.7 0.01 208.9 41.7
R.J. Scott R.J. Scott G 19 19.8 5.4 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.1 1.2 6.2 129 4.0 11.1 40.9 33.3 66.7 1.27 220.8 52.3
W. Hinton W. Hinton F 27 13.9 4.5 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 7.2 7 0.3 0.7 36.8 33.3 50.0 0.55 304.3 47.4
J. Mullahey J. Mullahey G 32 15.3 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.6 4.1 -48 -1.5 -3.5 38.9 35.7 50.0 0.43 259.5 52.8
J. Wright J. Wright G 5 12.4 3.0 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.0 3.6 170 5.0 8.6 20.0 0.0 0.0 1.43 137.9 20.0
J. Warren J. Warren C 33 13.2 2.5 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 5.8 - - - 44.4 0 66.7 0.04 203.5 44.4
B. Dixon B. Dixon - 7 3.9 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 42 1.4 2.5 33.3 0 0 0.46 66.7 33.3
S. Muwallif S. Muwallif - 5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG