Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Freelove * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Stephawn Brown * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Price * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Luther Page * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Mason | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jamel Waters | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devonte' Neal | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dominique Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Timothy Coleman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 33 | - |
| Antoine Myers * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Hunter Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Deonata Jethroe * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Ray Chambers * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Wright | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Westley Hinton | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Josh Warren | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter