Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | -6.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +6 (74-68). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Williams * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Emil Jones * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Myers * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Deonata Jethroe * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ray Chambers * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun | 22 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Wright | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Warren | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Westley Hinton | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Breon Dixon | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawntez Patterson * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Freelove * | 27 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Luther Page * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stephawn Brown | 29 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Denzell McDaniel | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter