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2012-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Alabama State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 87.5% 12.5% -
Bradley-Terry 75.4% 24.6% -
Margin 84.9% 15.1% -9.5 (15.5 off)

Actual: Alabama State Hornets +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Williams * 29 3-9 3-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 9 3 -
E. Jones * 25 3-11 0-3 3-6 5 1 2 0 1 9 5 -
A. Myers * 21 1-2 0-0 4-7 4 3 0 0 3 6 8 -
D. Jethroe * 18 3-8 0-3 5-5 4 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
R. Chambers * 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 4 7 -
T. Calhoun 22 4-11 3-9 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 13 4 -
R.J. Scott 20 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Mullahey 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
J. Wright 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Warren 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Hinton 7 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
B. Dixon 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Patterson * 30 4-10 3-6 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
J. Freelove * 27 3-8 3-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 9 4 -
L. Page * 20 1-2 0-0 1-5 6 1 0 1 2 3 7 -
P. Crawford * 20 6-10 0-0 0-6 3 0 0 0 0 12 5 -
J. Waters * 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 4 0 1 2 3 2 -
S. Brown 29 5-7 0-1 2-2 6 2 2 1 1 12 15 -
R. Watts 22 4-5 1-1 0-2 3 4 0 0 1 9 10 -
D. McDaniel 21 3-4 2-2 2-4 3 6 0 0 1 10 14 -
B. Brown 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Jefferson 5 1-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter