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2012-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 โœ— (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.4% 34.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—

Actual: Troy Trojans +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Stone * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 2 1 11 28 -
N. Niemczyk * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 10 15 -
Lucas Nutt * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 3 12 -
A.J. Jones * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 5 -
Nino Johnson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 9 -
Corey Wilford 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 20 26 -
Marland Smith 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 3 8 -
Jacob Tolbert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emil Jones * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 3 1 1 13 28 -
Hunter Williams * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 15 -
Antoine Myers * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 14 19 -
Deonata Jethroe * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 6 11 -
Ray Chambers * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
Tevin Calhoun 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
Josh Warren 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
R.J. Scott 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 6 5 -
Jeff Mullahey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Westley Hinton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter