Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.0% | 5.0% | -16.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -10 (56-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Massey * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | - |
| M. Knight * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| S. Jones * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Sulton * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Hammonds II * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Cintron | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Hunter | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Gallman | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Knight | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Jones * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Ray Chambers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Antoine Myers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Deonata Jethroe * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Hunter Williams | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Josh Warren | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter