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Toledo Rockets

2009 Team Stats (1 games)

58.0
PPG
80.0
Opp
-22.0
Margin
43.8%
FG%
38.5%
3P%
61.1%
FT%
30.0
RPG
10.0
APG
25.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.1
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#291
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 789 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 758 (#322) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 885 (#315) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -8.7 (#288) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -9.3 (#294) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.150 (#320) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.6 More โ†’ 0.157 (#295) AdjNet -14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.6 More โ†’ 0.156 (#292) AdjNet -14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.316 (#291) AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.337 (#310) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.247 (#301) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.251 (#306) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 31 More โ†’ 760 (#317) RD 141 | GP 31

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-14 @ Florida Gators L 58 - 80
2008-11-17 @ Xavier Musketeers L 65 - 81
2008-11-24 @ Florida International Panthers L 46 - 50
2008-11-25 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 56 - 77
2008-11-26 vs West Georgia Wolves W 77 - 62
2008-11-29 @ UMBC Retrievers L 56 - 61
2008-12-03 vs UMass Minutemen W 57 - 56
2008-12-07 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 58 - 67
2008-12-09 @ Wright State Raiders L 35 - 50
2008-12-20 vs Houston Cougars L 63 - 71
2008-12-23 vs UIC Flames L 55 - 65
2008-12-30 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 63 - 74
2009-01-02 vs Dayton Flyers L 63 - 77
2009-01-06 vs Rhode Island Rams L 77 - 86
2009-01-10 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 51 - 75
2009-01-14 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 52 - 70
2009-01-17 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 69 - 57
2009-01-20 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 75 - 61
2009-01-25 @ Ball State Cardinals L 53 - 66
2009-01-28 vs Akron Zips L 61 - 70
2009-01-31 @ Buffalo Bulls L 43 - 56
2009-02-03 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 53 - 81
2009-02-07 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks L 40 - 53
2009-02-11 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 54 - 59
2009-02-14 @ Ohio Bobcats L 58 - 91
2009-02-18 vs Ball State Cardinals W 71 - 67
2009-02-21 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 62 - 69
2009-02-25 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 49 - 58
2009-02-28 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 63 - 62
2009-03-04 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 44 - 59
2009-03-08 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 74 - 69
2009-03-10 @ Akron Zips L 92 - 93

2009 Roster

No roster data available for this season.