Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | +18.6 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.4 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +1 (93-92). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Amos | 39 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 19 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 36 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| A. Byrd | 35 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Kent | 34 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 9-13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 10 | - |
| L. Bastfield | 33 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Sterling | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Mouhamed Lo | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| I. Salter | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McKnight | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 10-15 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 15 | - |
| H. Hitchens | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nate Linhart | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Roberts | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| N. Cvetinovic | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. McClanahan | 20 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. McKnight | 19 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Conyers | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. McNees | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Bardo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter