Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hardiman | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Harman | 31 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Bitzer | 30 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Allen | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Van | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Weary | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| L. Bridges | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Hunter | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Ford | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Eddie III | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anyijong | 37 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. Amos | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 15 | - |
| L. Bastfield | 32 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Kent | 27 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| I. Salter | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Johnson | 19 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Byrd | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Taylor | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Lo | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter