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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 82.2% 17.8% -11.4 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 84.7% 15.3% - โœ“
Margin 88.7% 11.3% -11.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 79.8% 20.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.8% 6.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“

Actual: Toledo Rockets -9 (61-70). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris McKnight 28 4-5 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 1 1 10 14 -
Darryl Roberts 28 2-6 2-4 6-7 2 0 0 0 4 12 4 -
Brett McKnight 23 4-9 1-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 4 12 5 -
Nate Linhart 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Steve McNees 21 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 3 1 3 5 4 -
Nikola Cvetinovic 20 5-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 11 8 -
Humpty Hitchens 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -4 -
Brett McClanahan 16 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 9 8 -
Jimmy Conyers 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 3 8 -
Mike Bardo 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Tim Carroll 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Anyijong 39 4-7 1-2 1-1 8 2 2 1 1 10 15 -
Anthony Byrd 38 2-5 0-3 1-2 4 3 1 1 1 5 8 -
Tyrone Kent 23 6-15 1-5 6-8 3 2 3 0 4 19 8 -
Ridley Johnson 21 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 1 3 -
Mouhamed Lo 20 3-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
Larry Bastfield 20 4-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 10 2 -
Jonathan Amos 16 2-6 0-0 4-4 0 0 2 0 4 8 0 -
Ian Salter 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Zac Taylor 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Clayton Sterling 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter