Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | -12.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.9% | 6.1% | -15.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -8 (63-71). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Cousin | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| K. Lewis | 40 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Aubrey Coleman | 38 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Desmond Wade | 33 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Q. Calhoun | 32 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| H. McGloster | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DaShaun Williams | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zamal Nixon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Byrd | 37 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Amos | 32 | 5-16 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Johnson | 32 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Kent | 30 | 1-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -3 | - |
| I. Salter | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mouhamed Lo | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Bastfield | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter