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The Citadel

Also known as: The Citadel Bulldogs
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

68.0
PPG
73.2
Opp
-8.8
Margin
47.4%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
33.0
RPG
18.3
APG
19.7
TO
79.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 868 (#975) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1040 (#342) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 916 (#540) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +11.9 (#389) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -5.1 (#387) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -37.7 More → 0.011 (#302) NetEff -37.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.344 (#560) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.311 (#428) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.307 (#454) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 30 More → 815 (#540) RD 153 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs VMI Keydets W 84 - 76
2012-11-11 vs Air Force Falcons L 70 - 77
2012-11-14 vs Montreat College Cavaliers W 62 - 45
2012-11-17 vs Union Ky College Bulldogs W 92 - 50
2012-11-24 vs Radford Highlanders L 61 - 74
2012-12-01 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 54 - 84
2012-12-04 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 73 - 101
2012-12-15 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 58 - 71
2012-12-19 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 57 - 97
2012-12-22 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 41 - 73
2013-01-01 @ Clemson Tigers L 51 - 92
2013-01-05 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 55 - 72
2013-01-10 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 65 - 70
2013-01-12 vs Samford Bulldogs L 65 - 69
2013-01-14 vs Charleston Cougars L 69 - 73
2013-01-17 @ Davidson Wildcats L 38 - 70
2013-01-19 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 70 - 55
2013-01-24 @ Charleston Cougars L 54 - 69
2013-01-26 vs Elon Phoenix L 66 - 70
2013-01-31 vs Wofford Terriers W 69 - 63
2013-02-02 @ Furman Paladins W 84 - 79
2013-02-07 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 76 - 89
2013-02-09 @ Samford Bulldogs L 67 - 79
2013-02-14 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 57 - 78
2013-02-16 vs Davidson Wildcats L 57 - 72
2013-02-20 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers W 80 - 77
2013-02-23 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 65 - 68
2013-02-28 vs Furman Paladins W 68 - 57
2013-03-02 @ Wofford Terriers L 62 - 69
2013-03-08 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 61 - 76

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Groselle M. Groselle C 30 31.7 15.6 7.6 1.6 1.3 0.6 2.2 1.7 22.8 -124 -4.1 -6.0 56.9 0 72.7 -0.35 385.6 56.9
M. Van Scyoc M. Van Scyoc F 30 30.9 11.1 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.7 2.3 1.7 12.6 -154 -5.3 -8.8 46.0 38.7 85.7 -1.04 297.4 58.0
P.J. Horgan P.J. Horgan C 19 31.6 10.7 6.3 1.1 1.2 0.3 2.2 0.9 16.4 -44 -2.3 -3.2 52.9 0 75.0 0.15 457.8 52.9
M. Harris III M. Harris III G 30 30.0 6.3 2.1 5.2 1.4 0.0 2.5 1.0 11.4 -77 -2.7 -3.3 31.0 28.6 78.9 0.35 251.6 37.9
L. Miller L. Miller G 16 15.7 6.1 0.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 1.5 1.3 6.3 -60 -3.8 -9.5 38.1 25.0 66.7 -0.18 205.2 45.2
A. Moore A. Moore G 30 20.2 5.7 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.3 6.9 -21 -0.7 -2.0 27.5 29.4 80.0 0.48 193.7 33.8
C.J. Bray C.J. Bray F 7 19.3 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.9 7.6 14 2.0 4.5 33.3 50.0 33.3 0.32 259.6 41.7
R. Robinson R. Robinson G 19 20.2 4.5 2.1 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.5 0.9 7.5 -18 -0.9 -2.0 44.4 50.0 100.0 0.15 225.1 61.1
D. Setzekorn D. Setzekorn G 28 10.1 4.2 1.4 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 4.8 -85 -3.0 -9.3 47.8 22.2 87.5 -0.48 224.4 52.2
Q. Marshall Q. Marshall F 23 11.0 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.6 3.5 -125 -5.7 -16.7 64.3 100.0 75.0 -0.94 206.2 71.4
S. Elmore S. Elmore F 30 13.7 2.6 3.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.2 0.5 5.4 -214 -7.1 -18.6 50.0 0 20.0 -1.95 209.2 50.0
J. Jenkins J. Jenkins G 30 9.1 2.5 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 1.1 0.3 3.4 -5 -0.2 -0.7 60.0 0.0 90.0 -0.1 260.4 60.0
M. Hundley M. Hundley F 8 5.9 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.4 0.5 2.2 -29 -3.6 -13.9 75.0 0 0.0 -0.28 101.4 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG