Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Furman Paladins -5 (79-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Groselle * | 39 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | +9.5 |
| Ashton Moore * | 38 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +15.5 |
| P.J. Horgan * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +18.2 |
| Marshall Harris III * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +10.9 |
| Matt Van Scyoc | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Janeil Jenkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +7.0 |
| Stephen Elmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.6 |
| Raemond Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.4 |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrec Ferrara * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -13.4 |
| Charlie Reddick * | 31 | 10-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 17 | -4.3 |
| Stephen Croone * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | -4.7 |
| Bobby Austin * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -20.3 |
| Colin Reddick * | 25 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | -0.7 |
| Larry Wideman | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Bryant Irwin | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -9.2 |
| David Brown | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -16.3 |
| Kevin Chuisseu | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.8 |
* = starter