Model Predictions
| Model | Wofford Terriers | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +6 (69-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wofford Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Faithfull * | 37 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15.0 |
| Karl Cochran * | 34 | 6-17 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -13.1 |
| Spencer Collins * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -18.5 |
| Aerris Smith * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -9.7 |
| Justin Gordon * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -20.1 |
| Lee Skinner | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -5.6 |
| C.J. Neumann | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Jarell Byrd | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -3.3 |
| Taylor Wagener | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| James Long | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Horgan * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +18.2 |
| Marshall Harris III * | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 17 | +13.4 |
| Mike Groselle * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 14 | +14.4 |
| Ashton Moore * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +17.3 |
| Matt Van Scyoc | 37 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Raemond Robinson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.6 |
| Stephen Elmore | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Janeil Jenkins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2.6 |
* = starter