Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Georgia Southern Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia Southern Eagles -15 (55-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Groselle * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | +21.8 |
| P.J. Horgan * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | +18.5 |
| Marshall Harris III * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +23.2 |
| Ashton Moore * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +9.4 |
| Matt Van Scyoc | 36 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +13.0 |
| Janeil Jenkins | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Lawrence Miller | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Stephen Elmore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Raemond Robinson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.4 |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Quinton Marshall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Reed * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -17.1 |
| Eric Ferguson * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -13.6 |
| Tre Bussey * | 30 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | -23.1 |
| Cleon Roberts * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Kameron Dunnican * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -10.5 |
| Brian Holmes | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -17.3 |
| Marvin Baynham | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -16.9 |
| Cameron Baskerville | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Sam Mike | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Chris Daniels | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter