Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charleston Southern Buccaneers +28 (101-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Groselle * | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | -16.4 |
| Marshall Harris III * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -12.6 |
| Stephen Elmore * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | -11.0 |
| Ashton Moore * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -7.9 |
| Matt Van Scyoc * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -16.1 |
| Lawrence Miller | 25 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Quinton Marshall | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -6.5 |
| C.J. Bray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.5 |
| Janeil Jenkins | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Michael Hundley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.7 |
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sexton * | 37 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +8.8 |
| Saah Nimley * | 32 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | +12.4 |
| Arlon Harper * | 24 | 11-14 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 23 | +11.3 |
| Paul Gombwer * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Alhaji Fullah * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Cedrick Bowen | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Matt Kennedy | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Joe Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Malcolm Bernard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Sheldon Strickland | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -7.2 |
| Mitchell Deter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Greg Dorleus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.6 |
* = starter