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Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% +7.3 โœ“ (22.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +10.3 โœ“ (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +30 (84-54). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Mike Groselle * 35 6-12 0-0 8-10 4 1 3 1 1 20 16 -16.1
Matt Van Scyoc * 31 2-8 2-7 1-3 2 0 2 0 0 7 3 -17.9
Ashton Moore * 29 5-14 1-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 11 3 -11.1
Marshall Harris III * 25 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 2 3 -13.4
C.J. Bray * 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -4.7
Lawrence Miller 17 1-5 1-3 4-6 0 0 1 0 1 7 2 -13.7
Stephen Elmore 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 4 7 -8.0
Dylen Setzekorn 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -13.1
Quinton Marshall 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -6.3
Janeil Jenkins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.8
Michael Hundley 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.5

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Trevis Simpson * 26 5-10 2-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 14 10 +4.3
Drew Parker * 24 6-8 3-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 15 13 +1.2
Korey Van Dussen * 23 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 5 10 +11.4
David Williams * 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 +1.0
Kelvin McNeil * 15 2-2 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 7 9 -1.2
Nicholas Paulos 17 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 11 6 +12.6
Derrell Armstrong 16 3-7 0-3 1-2 1 4 2 1 1 7 7 +16.0
Kayel Locke 15 3-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 7 +13.6
R.J. White 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 7 +5.9
Jordan Potts 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 +2.8
Taylor Hoffer 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 4 +14.6
Brian Cole 5 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 +0.8
Kendall Bethea 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.4
Demetrius Robinson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.5
Thomas Sumpter 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter