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Tennessee State

Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History

2006 Team Stats (2 games)

74.5
PPG
71.0
Opp
+3.5
Margin
52.9%
FG%
45.5%
3P%
70.4%
FT%
27.0
RPG
16.5
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.4
Adj PPG
69.7
Adj Opp PPG
#208
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1003 (#159) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 945 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 1009 (#146) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -3.8 (#211) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -3.6 (#217) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.479 (#172) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.8 More โ†’ 0.314 (#220) AdjNet -6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.0 More โ†’ 0.309 (#222) AdjNet -7.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.427 (#208) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.470 (#191) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.435 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.444 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 27 More โ†’ 968 (#182) RD 159 | GP 27

2006 Schedule & Results

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.