Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ervin | 40 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Grant | 40 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Belton | 33 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| W. Arnold | 31 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| C. Matthews | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Turner | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Bohannon | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Zafirov | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 40 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| J. Smith | 38 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| R. Gulina | 36 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Peterson | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. West | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Merritt | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Black | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter