Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | +10.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers -5 (74-79). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason McLeish | 34 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Julian Mascoll | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Matt Witt | 32 | 9-16 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Alonzo Hird | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Darnell Dialls | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Michael Brock | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Rose | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harrison Brown | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bubba Long | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Grant | 39 | 12-22 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 14 | - |
| Wayne Arnold | 39 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Reiley Ervin | 35 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Larry Turner | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Clarence Matthews | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Andrae Belton | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Courtney Bohannon | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| P. Zafirov | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter