Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -1 (69-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Arnold | 39 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| K. Grant | 38 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| R. Ervin | 37 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| C. Matthews | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Turner | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Belton | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| P. Zafirov | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Acker | 36 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Player #16074 | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Newell | 24 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| L. Adler | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Bass | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Peyton | 15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Howland | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Ames | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Perryman | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Nelson | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Lampley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter