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Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 63
@
Tennessee State Tigers 68
2006-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% +17.0 ✓ (12.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 18.9% 81.1% - ✓
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 ✓ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - ✓

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +5 (68-63). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Paradoski 36 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 4 4 0 3 0 6 -
R. Booker 35 10-22 3-11 4-6 3 1 0 0 1 27 8 -
T. Willoughby 30 2-7 2-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 6 6 -
Andrais Thornton 26 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 0 0 0 0 10 13 -
K. Guerrier 20 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
E. Burtin 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 2 1 -
W. Francis 18 3-6 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 1 7 5 -
E. Jones 14 2-5 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
T. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Arnold 38 5-15 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 12 4 -
Kareem Grant 38 8-10 2-4 2-2 6 1 2 0 1 20 18 -
R. Ervin 34 3-8 1-5 0-2 4 7 0 0 2 7 8 -
C. Matthews 28 7-13 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 3 0 16 12 -
L. Turner 23 3-5 0-0 5-7 4 2 0 2 4 11 10 -
C. Bohannon 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 0 0 7 -
A. Belton 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 1 0 2 6 -
P. Zafirov 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter