Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | +0.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +2 (77-75). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Arnold | 39 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Reiley Ervin | 35 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kareem Grant | 34 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Clarence Matthews | 28 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Courtney Bohannon | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Larry Turner | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Andrae Belton | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cody Waddey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 39 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dorien Brown | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Wilson | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Harold Crow | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| B.J. Spencer | 21 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Miller | 21 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| DeAndre Bray | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Bradley | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tim Lewis | 7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Lumpkin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter