Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +3 (85-82). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kelly | 38 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jared Newson | 31 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| W. Lewis | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Jones | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Flatt | 25 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Tolliver | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A. Ferrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Knight | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Arnold | 38 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| R. Ervin | 33 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kareem Grant | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Turner | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| C. Matthews | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Bohannon | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Belton | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| P. Zafirov | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter