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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2006 Team Stats (2 games)

59.5
PPG
66.0
Opp
-6.5
Margin
34.2%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
29.0
RPG
7.5
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.2
Adj PPG
66.6
Adj Opp PPG
#227
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 859 (#252) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 793 (#299) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 850 (#318) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -4.2 (#219) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -4.5 (#233) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.210 (#298) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.7 More โ†’ 0.341 (#209) AdjNet -5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.7 More โ†’ 0.341 (#208) AdjNet -5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 66.6 More โ†’ 0.401 (#227) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.376 (#278) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.325 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.320 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 30 More โ†’ 817 (#288) RD 141 | GP 30

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-19 vs Tarleton Texans L 59 - 68
2005-11-22 vs Jackson State Tigers W 76 - 74
2005-11-25 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 58 - 66
2005-11-26 @ Drake Bulldogs L 79 - 86
2005-11-30 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 54 - 81
2005-12-03 @ Syracuse Orange L 64 - 80
2005-12-07 @ Tulane Green Wave L 52 - 56
2005-12-10 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 71 - 63
2005-12-18 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 70 - 53
2005-12-20 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 59 - 77
2005-12-22 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 49 - 55
2005-12-28 vs Grambling Tigers W 79 - 64
2005-12-30 @ SMU Mustangs L 49 - 52
2006-01-03 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 57 - 65
2006-01-07 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 64 - 68
2006-01-11 @ New Mexico Lobos L 54 - 56
2006-01-14 @ Air Force Falcons L 49 - 75
2006-01-18 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 57 - 76
2006-01-21 vs Colorado State Rams W 85 - 72
2006-01-25 @ BYU Cougars L 80 - 89
2006-01-28 @ Utah Utes L 45 - 80
2006-02-01 vs UNLV Rebels L 60 - 73
2006-02-08 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 65 - 67
2006-02-11 vs New Mexico Lobos L 42 - 53
2006-02-15 vs Air Force Falcons L 45 - 63
2006-02-18 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 71 - 83
2006-02-22 @ Colorado State Rams L 74 - 89
2006-02-25 vs BYU Cougars L 72 - 81
2006-03-01 vs Utah Utes W 69 - 65
2006-03-04 @ UNLV Rebels L 61 - 72
2006-03-07 @ Colorado State Rams L 60 - 64

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.