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2006-02-22

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% -
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +15 (89-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hackett 36 6-13 1-8 1-1 0 3 0 0 2 14 2 -
N. Murry 35 4-11 3-7 3-3 3 6 1 0 5 14 8 -
N. Owens 35 2-8 1-5 6-10 7 0 1 0 1 11 10 -
J. Stubbs 31 6-15 1-2 5-8 4 1 1 0 0 18 9 -
A. Pierce 20 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
B. Adams 15 0-1 0-1 4-4 2 0 2 0 1 4 6 -
A. Taylor 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
F. Ibikunle 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Markley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Staky 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harrison 31 5-5 0-0 2-4 6 3 0 1 3 12 14 -
F. Robinson 30 5-8 2-4 4-4 3 4 1 0 3 16 13 -
C. Lewis 29 0-3 0-2 4-4 4 6 2 0 1 4 12 -
J. Smith 24 2-4 0-0 9-9 9 1 0 4 3 13 20 -
S. Gilling 23 5-13 5-9 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 16 3 -
S. Creason 17 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 1 8 9 -
A. Patterson 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
P. Peterson 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
S. Morris 16 2-4 1-3 8-9 1 2 0 0 1 13 11 -
M. Morris 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 4 7 -
C. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C.J. Clark 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter