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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 17.2% 82.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Murry 39 6-12 3-5 1-2 3 2 1 1 3 16 8 -
N. Owens 32 3-10 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 9 3 -
C. Chinweze 27 6-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 2 1 4 13 9 -
B. Hackett 24 2-7 0-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Stubbs 22 5-10 1-2 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 11 10 -
N. Dougherty 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 4 6 -
F. Ibikunle 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Pierce 11 0-0 0-0 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Adams 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Taylor 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Terry 36 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 5 1 1 3 5 10 -
R. Morgan 34 4-6 2-2 6-6 2 9 0 0 6 16 15 -
W. White 34 8-10 1-1 1-2 5 0 2 2 1 18 16 -
W. Adams 32 7-12 1-2 2-2 4 4 2 0 3 17 12 -
D. Villepigue 30 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 9 5 -
G. Essengue 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
J. Darger 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
R. Berkey 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter