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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Margin 88.0% 12.0% -11.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 76.8% 23.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.8% 27.2% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -18 (45-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hood 37 9-16 3-5 2-2 5 2 4 0 2 23 16 -
J. Burtschi 33 7-11 0-2 2-3 7 2 3 0 4 16 13 -
D. Nwaelele 32 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. McCraw 31 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 5 3 0 0 4 10 -
T. Anderson 26 3-6 2-5 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 9 8 -
J. Frye 20 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 3 5 6 5 -
M. Holum 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
A. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
A. Henke 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Maren 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Teets 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Kenzik 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hackett 31 3-8 3-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
N. Murry 31 2-6 0-3 3-4 1 2 1 0 5 7 0 -
J. Stubbs 24 5-9 1-1 0-0 7 2 1 1 4 11 9 -
N. Owens 24 2-5 0-1 1-2 4 5 2 0 2 5 9 -
A. Pierce 20 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
N. Dougherty 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
C. Chinweze 20 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 2 3 5 6 -
F. Ibikunle 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
B. Adams 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Markley 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Staky 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter