Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -19 (57-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 38 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 36 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 33 | - |
| K. Spain | 32 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | - |
| N. LeSure | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 10 | - |
| M. Abukar | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Sharper | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Hudson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Camara | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Murry | 35 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| N. Owens | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Stubbs | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Hackett | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| C. Chinweze | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| F. Ibikunle | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| N. Dougherty | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Adams | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Pierce | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Markley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Staky | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter