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2006-01-18

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 81.0% 19.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 81.1% 18.9% -
Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% -
Log Adjusted 94.0% 6.0% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -19 (57-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Williams 38 6-11 2-4 2-4 2 3 3 0 5 16 8 -
M. Slaughter 36 9-12 0-1 5-7 18 4 1 1 2 23 33 -
K. Spain 32 3-6 2-2 2-2 10 4 1 1 5 10 15 -
N. LeSure 31 6-11 2-4 5-6 3 3 3 0 7 19 10 -
M. Abukar 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
J. Sharper 21 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 0 -3 -
B. Hudson 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Camara 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Hoerner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Murry 35 5-14 2-5 4-4 2 2 3 0 2 16 7 -
N. Owens 29 1-4 0-3 0-2 2 2 4 1 4 2 3 -
J. Stubbs 28 3-9 1-4 6-6 4 2 3 0 1 13 12 -
B. Hackett 27 4-9 1-4 2-3 0 0 1 0 2 11 1 -
C. Chinweze 22 4-9 0-0 4-8 3 2 1 1 2 12 8 -
F. Ibikunle 17 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 2 2 0 0 0 6 -
N. Dougherty 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Adams 12 0-3 0-3 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. Pierce 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
A. Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Markley 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
R. Staky 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter