Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +3 (52-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hackett | 34 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Murry | 33 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Stubbs | 27 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| N. Owens | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Chinweze | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Adams | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| F. Ibikunle | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Pierce | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| N. Dougherty | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Masters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hopkins | 39 | 8-12 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 24 | - |
| D. Roberts | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Willingham | 31 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Rackauskas | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Pearson | 23 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Fall | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Killen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| B. Morris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Epps | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter