Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Murry | 38 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| J. Stubbs | 34 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Dougherty | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Adams | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Owens | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Hackett | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| F. Ibikunle | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Pierce | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| N. LeSure | 38 | 7-14 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Sharper | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Abukar | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Spain | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Hudson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Camara | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter