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San Diego State Aztecs

Also known as: San Diego State Aztecs
Program History

2015 Team Stats (14 games)

56.1
PPG
53.7
Opp
+2.4
Margin
36.6%
FG%
28.1%
3P%
64.7%
FT%
35.5
RPG
7.7
APG
11.5
TO
72.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1690 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1391 (#95) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +35.3 (#41) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.318 (#51) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.3 More → 0.250 (#45) NetEff -8.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.396 (#74) AdjNet -3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.5 More → 0.401 (#74) AdjNet -3.5

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-18 vs Utah Utes W 53 - 49
2014-11-20 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 51 - 27
2014-12-04 vs San Diego Toreros W 57 - 48
2014-12-07 @ Washington Huskies L 36 - 49
2014-12-10 vs Long Beach State Beach W 60 - 59
2014-12-17 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 62 - 71
2014-12-20 vs Ball State Cardinals W 70 - 57
2015-01-14 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 60 - 52
2015-02-28 vs Boise State Broncos L 46 - 56
2015-03-12 vs UNLV Rebels W 67 - 64
2015-03-13 vs Colorado State Rams W 56 - 43
2015-03-14 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 43 - 45
2015-03-20 vs St. John's Red Storm W 76 - 64
2015-03-22 @ Duke Blue Devils L 49 - 68

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
W. Shepard W. Shepard F 14 27.6 10.4 5.0 1.9 0.8 0.4 3.0 9.4 6.0 - - - 38.9 17.6 64.5 - 45.8 40.1
J.J. O'Brien J.J. O'Brien F 14 34.4 9.7 5.0 1.7 1.1 0.0 1.7 8.5 7.4 - - - 42.9 23.1 72.1 - 49.3 44.1
D. Polee II D. Polee II F 12 21.0 8.4 3.1 0.6 1.2 0.4 1.1 7.8 4.8 66 6.6 11.7 33.3 27.7 70.3 1.76 46.2 40.3
A. Quinn A. Quinn G 11 25.7 8.3 2.8 1.2 1.3 0.1 0.9 8.2 4.5 - - - 32.2 30.6 72.0 - 45.0 40.6
T. Snell T. Snell G 14 20.6 4.6 2.9 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.1 5.2 2.9 - - - 21.9 19.4 63.4 - 35.1 26.0
S. Spencer S. Spencer F 14 24.9 4.5 5.6 0.1 0.7 2.4 0.7 3.6 9.1 - - - 48.0 0 60.0 - 51.6 48.0
M. Shrigley M. Shrigley F 12 20.8 3.8 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.6 4.6 1.8 - - - 29.1 27.5 100.0 - 40.3 39.1
M. Pope M. Pope F 11 13.9 3.7 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 3.1 3.5 - - - 38.2 38.5 71.4 - 51.0 45.6
K. Zabo K. Zabo G 6 12.5 3.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 3.2 1.0 - - - 36.8 60.0 50.0 - 46.6 44.7
A. Chol A. Chol F 14 12.6 3.4 3.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 3.2 3.7 4 0.3 0.5 46.7 0 31.6 0.83 45.0 46.7
D. Allen D. Allen G 12 8.8 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.1 23 2.9 6.1 33.3 100.0 70.6 0.79 49.1 36.1
D. Williams D. Williams G 4 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.5 1.2 18 1.6 2.7 100.0 100.0 50.0 1.08 104.2 125.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG