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2014-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 70.8% 29.2% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (53-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wright * 37 2-13 0-5 3-3 8 5 3 2 3 7 9 -
J. Poeltl * 35 1-3 0-0 2-6 12 0 1 7 2 4 19 -
J. Loveridge * 29 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 5 -3 -
B. Taylor * 25 3-10 3-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 1 -
C. Reyes * 21 2-4 0-0 4-5 9 1 0 1 2 8 13 -
I. Wright 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 6 -1 -
B. Chapman 15 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
K. Ogbe 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Bachynski 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Kuzma 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. O'Brien * 38 3-10 0-1 6-6 11 3 1 0 3 12 14 -
A. Quinn * 30 1-6 0-2 4-6 2 0 4 0 1 6 5 -
T. Kell * 24 1-5 0-2 3-4 4 0 2 0 1 5 5 -
W. Shepard * 17 2-6 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 6 2 -
S. Spencer * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
D. Polee II 26 2-6 1-2 3-4 2 1 4 2 2 8 9 -
A. Chol 24 4-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
K. Zabo 16 1-2 1-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Allen 9 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter