Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (53-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wright * | 37 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Poeltl * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19 | - |
| J. Loveridge * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Reyes * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| I. Wright | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. Chapman | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Ogbe | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Bachynski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Kuzma | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Quinn * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Kell * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Polee II | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Chol | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Zabo | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Allen | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter