Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 43 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 39 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Kell * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Polee II * | 25 | 4-13 | 0-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| A. Quinn | 27 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Chol | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Ellis * | 40 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | - |
| T. Caupain * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Clark * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Thomas * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| F. Cobb | 29 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Sanders | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. DeBerry | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Morman | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Q. Moore | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter